About
  PDF
Full Text
(76 K)

The Association Between Nearby Cotton Futures Price and Net Bale Commitments of Speculative Traders

Avuthu R. Reddy, Carl G. Anderson, David A. Bessler and Carl E. Shafer


 
ABSTRACT

Granger causality tests and time series methods were used to identify the relationship between nearby futures price and net bale commitments of speculative traders in cotton. Ordinary least squares analysis was employed to find out the big hit ability of the speculative traders on nearby cotton futures price. Net positions of speculative traders aided in predicting the subsequent nearby futures price and the strongest response was observed within two weeks. Speculative traders had big hit ability and statistically significant relationships were found when they were net long and net long positions decreased as well as when they were net short and net short positions decreased.



Reprinted from Proceedings of the 1999 Beltwide Cotton Conferences pp. 294 - 298
©National Cotton Council, Memphis TN

[Main TOC] | [TOC] | [TOC by Section] | [Search] | [Help]
Previous Page [Previous] [Next] Next Page
 
Document last modified Monday, Jun 21 1999